Should You Grade Treecko?
Nintendo Black Star Promos · #3
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$19.99
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$188.00
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$73.46
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$29.32
$-12.67 (-30%)
PSA 8
$55.06
+$13.07 (31%)
PSA 9
$82.67
+$40.68 (97%)
PSA 10
$1199.40
+$1157.41 (2756%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 840% — grading EV is $188.00 vs $19.99 raw.
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