Does Ultra Ball have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-19.05 for Ultra Ball — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Ultra Ball?

Our model estimates approximately -45% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $20.69, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-19.05. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Ultra Ball?

Brilliant Stars · #186

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$20.69

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$1.64

Estimated profit$-19.05

Estimated return-45%

Break-even sell price$-16.22

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $8.50 $-34.19 (-80%)

PSA 9 $15.44 $-27.25 (-64%)