Should You Grade Ultra Recon Squad?
Forbidden Light · #131
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$19.04
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$1.61
Estimated profit$-17.43
Estimated return-42%
Break-even sell price$-10.56
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$7.00
$-34.04 (-83%)
PSA 8
$19.74
$-21.30 (-52%)
PSA 9
$26.97
$-14.07 (-34%)
PSA 10
$86.83
+$45.79 (112%)
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