Does Vanillish have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-9.21 for Vanillish — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Vanillish?

Our model estimates approximately -30% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $8.70, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-9.21. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Vanillish?

Paradox Rift · #190

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$8.70

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-0.51

Estimated profit$-9.21

Estimated return-30%

Break-even sell price$-17.61

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $8.00 $-22.70 (-74%)

PSA 8 $12.23 $-18.47 (-60%)