Mega Evolution Pull Rates

531 cards · 9 rarity tiers

Break-even pack cost

$5.45

Equals expected raw value per pack. If pack cost is below this, ripping is +EV on raw alone.

Current pack cost $7.87
Avg gain/loss per pack $-2.42

As of 2026-04-27

Pack cost — by source
Booster pack (1 samples) $7.50
Sleeved booster pack (1 samples) $8.65
Booster bundle (per pack) (1 samples) $7.46
Rarity Distribution
Unknown 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 343 (64.6%)
Common 1 / 1.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 67 (12.6%)
Uncommon 1 / 1.5 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 43 (8.1%)
Ultra Rare 1 / 21.01 pack · 1 / 1 for a specific card 22 (4.1%)
Illustration Rare 1 / 9.01 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 22 (4.1%)
Rare 1 / 3.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 12 (2.3%)
Double Rare 1 / 5.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 10 (1.9%)
Special Illustration Rare 1 / 69.93 pack · 1 / 7 for a specific card 10 (1.9%)
Mega Hyper Rare 1 / 200.0 pack · 1 / 100 for a specific card 2 (0.4%)
Value by Rarity
Mega Hyper Rare $238.99 avg (max $265.99, 2 priced)
Special Illustration Rare $71.35 avg (max $170.00, 10 priced)
Unknown $15.56 avg (max $277.24, 221 priced)
Illustration Rare $6.66 avg (max $19.95, 15 priced)
Ultra Rare $5.05 avg (max $19.99, 19 priced)
Double Rare $1.75 avg (max $2.03, 9 priced)
Uncommon $1.15 avg (max $1.99, 7 priced)
Rare $1.12 avg (max $1.99, 9 priced)
Common $0.76 avg (max $1.87, 12 priced)
Sealed Products
Enhanced Booster Box $277.24
Elite Trainer Box Pokemon Center Gardevoir $224.87
Booster Box $201.44
Mini Tin Display $189.08
Elite Trainer Box Pokemon Center Lucario $174.17
Half Booster Box $137.02
Elite Trainer Box Mega Gardevoir $86.31
Elite Trainer Box Mega Lucario $85.46
Booster Bundle $34.56
3 Pack Blister Psyduck $33.71
Premium Checklane Blister Tyranitar $30.34
Premium Checklane Blister Meowscarada $24.19
3 Pack Blister Golduck $21.37
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Mega Gardevoir $17.97
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Mega Lucario $17.78
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Mega Latias $16.81
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Mega Kangaskhan $15.84
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Mega Venusaur $15.68
Checklane Blister Wailord $12.72
Single Pack Blister Drifloon $12.11
Checklane Blister Lycanroc $12.08
Single Pack Blister Drifblim $10.89
Booster Pack $8.09
Sleeved Booster Pack $7.72
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