Paldean Fates Pull Rates

585 cards · 11 rarity tiers

Break-even pack cost

$4.22

Equals expected raw value per pack. If pack cost is below this, ripping is +EV on raw alone.

Current pack cost $75.92
Avg gain/loss per pack $-71.70

As of 2026-04-27

Pack cost — by source
Booster pack (1 samples) $18.13
Booster bundle (per pack) (2 samples) $133.71
Rarity Distribution
Unknown 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 340 (58.1%)
Shiny Rare 1 / 33.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 120 (20.5%)
Common 1 / 1.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 40 (6.8%)
Uncommon 1 / 1.5 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 25 (4.3%)
Rare 1 / 3.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 16 (2.7%)
Shiny Ultra Rare 1 / 59.88 pack · 1 / 5 for a specific card 12 (2.1%)
Double Rare 1 / 5.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 10 (1.7%)
Special Illustration Rare 1 / 69.93 pack · 1 / 9 for a specific card 8 (1.4%)
Hyper Rare 1 / 135.14 pack · 1 / 23 for a specific card 6 (1.0%)
Ultra Rare 1 / 21.01 pack · 1 / 4 for a specific card 5 (0.9%)
Illustration Rare 1 / 9.01 pack · 1 / 3 for a specific card 3 (0.5%)
Value by Rarity
Special Illustration Rare $159.79 avg (max $572.67, 4 priced)
Unknown $25.69 avg (max $1381.49, 276 priced)
Hyper Rare $10.76 avg (max $17.56, 6 priced)
Shiny Rare $6.40 avg (max $63.28, 112 priced)
Shiny Ultra Rare $5.23 avg (max $21.87, 11 priced)
Illustration Rare $2.61 avg (max $3.13, 2 priced)
Ultra Rare $2.48 avg (max $4.05, 5 priced)
Double Rare $1.78 avg (max $5.79, 9 priced)
Rare $0.63 avg (max $1.61, 4 priced)
Uncommon $0.49 avg (max $1.99, 8 priced)
Common $0.28 avg (max $1.80, 19 priced)
Sealed Products
Booster Bundle Display $1381.49
Elite Trainer Box Pokemon Center $567.91
Tech Sticker Collection Display $468.20
Elite Trainer Box $332.47
Sealed Mini Tin Display Box $320.10
5 Mini Tin Set $253.57
Great Tusk Ex & Iron Treads Ex Premium Collection $213.91
Meowscarada Ex Premium Collection Box $194.21
Booster Bundle $137.16
Skeledirge Ex Premium Collection Box $113.48
Sealed Charizard Ex Tin $112.07
Quaquaval Ex Premium Collection Box $82.40
International Tin Charizard Ex $79.82
International Tin Iron Treads Ex $70.00
Sealed Iron Treads Ex Tin $66.62
Sealed Great Tusk Ex Tin $59.44
International Tin Great Tusk Ex $41.03
Mini Tin Maushold $32.31
Mini Tin Tinkatink $32.08
Mini Tin Smoliv $26.66
Mini Tin Flamigo $23.97
Mini Tin Finizen $22.74
Booster Pack $18.57
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