Lost Origin Pull Rates

644 cards · 12 rarity tiers

Break-even pack cost

$3.05

Equals expected raw value per pack. If pack cost is below this, ripping is +EV on raw alone.

Current pack cost $17.05
Avg gain/loss per pack $-14.00

As of 2026-04-27

Pack cost — by source
Booster pack (2 samples) $13.76
Sleeved booster pack (1 samples) $17.67
Booster bundle (per pack) (1 samples) $19.72
Rarity Distribution
Unknown 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 427 (66.3%)
Uncommon 1 / 1.5 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 50 (7.8%)
Common 1 / 1.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 49 (7.6%)
Rare 1 / 3.0 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 28 (4.3%)
Rare Ultra 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 1 for a specific card 25 (3.9%)
Rare Holo 1 / 9.01 pack · 1 / 0 for a specific card 22 (3.4%)
Rare Rainbow 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 1 for a specific card 15 (2.3%)
Rare Holo V 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 2 for a specific card 12 (1.9%)
Rare Holo VSTAR 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 3 for a specific card 6 (0.9%)
Rare Secret 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 3 for a specific card 6 (0.9%)
Radiant Rare 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 7 for a specific card 3 (0.5%)
Rare Holo VMAX 1 / 20.0 pack · 1 / 20 for a specific card 1 (0.2%)
Value by Rarity
Unknown $18.39 avg (max $742.60, 280 priced)
Rare Ultra $8.14 avg (max $59.74, 24 priced)
Rare Rainbow $7.51 avg (max $22.83, 14 priced)
Rare Secret $5.90 avg (max $18.49, 6 priced)
Rare Holo VMAX $2.91 avg (max $2.91, 1 priced)
Radiant Rare $2.82 avg (max $3.79, 2 priced)
Rare Holo VSTAR $2.68 avg (max $3.38, 5 priced)
Rare Holo V $2.20 avg (max $3.99, 11 priced)
Rare Holo $1.35 avg (max $5.01, 16 priced)
Common $0.95 avg (max $2.15, 5 priced)
Rare $0.74 avg (max $1.95, 6 priced)
Uncommon $0.14 avg (max $0.21, 2 priced)
Sealed Products
Build & Battle Display Box $742.60
Booster Box $691.59
Half Booster Box $418.89
Elite Trainer Box Pokemon Center $310.35
Eevee Evolutions Premium Collection Box $244.41
Elite Trainer Box $151.86
Arceus & Darkrai Pin Blister Pack $65.18
Weavile 3 Pack Blister $62.55
Infernape V Collection Box $54.93
Booster Bundle $52.59
3 Pack Blister $51.24
Fire Stacking Tin $40.84
Fighting Stacking Tin $38.00
Darkness Stacking Tin $33.41
Torterra Premium Checklane Blister $23.30
Sleeved Booster Pack $18.69
Booster Pack $15.02
Scorbunny Checklane Blister $12.16
Booster Pack Heavy $11.11
Infernape Premium Checklane Blister $10.18
Stacking Tin Display —
Croagunk 1 Pack Blister —
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